Is Obama’s Presidency Already Failing?
November 30th, 2008 by Richard Okelberry - I know that it is taboo right now to criticize the Obama Presidency. After all, he hasn’t even taken office. However, as some of you may know, I am compiling a database at UtahFreePress.com of every campaign promise that Obama made during his bid for election along with a basic algorithm that will track whether or not President Obama is successful in fulfilling those obligations to the voters. While inputting his many promises into the database, I was struck by the fact that at least one promise seems to already be collapsing.
On his Web site, Barack Obama promised to enact a Windfall Profits Tax to provide a $1000 Emergency Energy Rebate to every American family. While this promise may have seemed secure back in April of this year when Oil and Gas prices were at record levels, the price for these commodities have since plummeted and there will likely be no Windfall Profits available to raise the $50 billion necessary to fulfill this promise.
Additionally, Obama declared that, “We’ll also take steps to reduce the price of oil and increase transparency in how prices are set so we can ensure that energy companies aren’t bending the rules.” This statement seems to indicate that Barrack Obama is going to limit the ability of Oil/Gas companies to reap Windfalls in the future by closely monitoring gas pricing. It would seem that this plan is working against his first plan to use excess oil revenue to raise money for his $50 billion Emergency Energy Rebate because by lowering the price of gas, the oil companies have less profit for Obama to tap.
These two promises create several dilemmas for my upcoming database. The database will assign a numerical value to each promise made by President Elect Obama. These values will be weighted to express how the promise was made and whether or not the promise was a major part of the campaign and regularly appeared in stump speeches and debates. For example if Obama said that he would TRY to make all dogs purple, the promise would get 1 point. If he used a stronger declaration and said instead, “I WILL make all dogs purple,” the statement would get 2 points. Finally, an additional point would be given if the promise was ever made during a speech or Interview where a larger portion of the population would hear it and would receive one final point if the promise was made during a debate or a major speech like the Democratic Convention Speech in Denver.
In total each individual promise could receive up to 4 possible points. I say possible because Barrack Obama would only receive the points if he actually carried through on the promise. If the promise failed to be fulfilled he would receive (Negative) -4 points instead. Because not all promises can be fulfilled right away or don’t have a time component to them, Obama would receive zero points for any promises that are yet to be fulfilled prior to the beginning of the next campaign cycle.
You can see how this point value system will lend it’s self easily to creating a simple timeline graph of his presidency. The dilemma I have has to do with how to treat those promises that either fail or are fulfilled prior to his inauguration. If for example congress passes and President Bush signs into law a new stimulus package prior to Obama being president, does he get credit for fulfilling that promise? After all, Obama is no longer even a Senator.
With his promise about using Windfall Oil profits, I have decided that it will be considered a failure at the moment he takes office. I have decided to treat this promise that way because I realize that if oil prices do spike again in the future and Obama does fulfill this promise I can always make the change. That said, currently it looks like Obama may have to look elsewhere to fund his promised $1000 Emergency Energy Rebate to every American family. This brings up one final question; if he succeeds in funding his promise but fails to do it through a Windfall tax on oil, should I give him partial credit?
I truly want to make this system as fair as possible and would like to receive as much input from readers as possible about how the system can be improved prior to it’s implication on inauguration day. Eventually, I want to build a self contained application that can be plugged into any website to allow communities around the country the ability to track local politicians as well. Perhaps, a wide spread system like this will help politicians everywhere think twice before making promises that they cannot keep.




